When will "Mistral-Large" be released?
760
resolved Feb 26
60%80%
February 2024
40%19%
March 2024
0.1%
June 2024
0.2%
July 2024
0.1%
August 2024
0.3%
April 2024
0.3%
May 2024
0.5%Other

We have "Mistral-tiny", "Mistral-small", and "Mistral-medium". This naming convention naturally leads to "Mistral-large". When will that be released?

Market Rules

Add new months in the format "Month Year".

When a model named "Mistral-Large" is released to the public(either API or weights), resolves to the linear interpolation between the nearest Anchor Dates. The anchor date for every month is the 15th except for February which is 14.

Resolves 100% Other if Mistral states they will never release it, or Mistral goes out of business, or the year 2025 is reached without "Mistral-Large" being released. If a month is missing when this market is resolved, the percentage is credited to Other instead.

Examples:

  • It is released on 2024-01-01. The nearest anchor dates are 2023-12-15 and 2024-01-15, which is a span of 31 days. This is 16 days into the span, so resolves 48% December 2023 and 52% January 2024.

  • It is released on 2024-01-17. This is 2 days into a span of length 30. February 2024 is a leap year but the anchor date is still 2024-02-14. January 2024 resolves 28/30 = 93% and February 2024 resolves 7%.

"Released to the public": No waitlist, release date is the first date it is available to @Mira in the US. Leaks do not count. This market uses PST timezone.

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February 26 is the date on the Mistral blog post. That's 12 days into a span of length 30(February [14,29] + March [1,15]), or 40%. So this market resolves 60% February and 40% March.

bought Ṁ350 February 2024 YES

The beast is out.

bought Ṁ60 February 2024 YES