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MANIFOLD
Who will win the SF Board of Supervisors District 5 election?
20
Ṁ12kṀ150k
resolved Nov 12
100%99.0%
Bilal Mahmood
0.6%
Dean Preston
0.2%
Scotty Jacobs
0.1%
Autumn Looijen
0.1%Other

Incumbent Dean Preston, challenger Bilal Mahmood. SF D5 includes the Tenderloin, Haight St, and Western Addition/Japantown.

Allen Jones is also registered to run.

https://sfbos.org/supervisor-preston-district-5
https://sfstandard.com/2024/01/23/tech-exec-challenges-san-francisco-democratic-socialist-supervisor-dean-preston/

California Politics
San Francisco
San Francisco November 2024 Election
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bought Ṁ31,430 YES

https://twitter.com/maxdubler/status/1855798096195912084

bought Ṁ3,000 YES

Mahmood is winning on first vote and after all RCV votes are tabulated - Looijen's voters are almost certainly going to break for Mahmood over Preston.

Latest kind of big picture article on the d5 election https://www.sfchronicle.com/sf/article/dean-preston-moderate-district-5-19804290.php I imagine this is the key to the outcome:

If Mahmood can get “the lion’s share” of second and third-place votes from Looijen or Jacobs, McDaniel said, “it might be enough to decide the race.”

https://sfstandard.com/2024/08/16/dean-preston-billionaires-san-francisco-bilal-growsf/

https://manifold.markets/Radicalia/will-dean-preston-be-reelected-to-t

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