Will Planecrash continue before 2023-02-15?
29
279
570
resolved Feb 8
Resolved
YES
Get Ṁ1,000 play money

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predicted YES

I believe this market is currently too low (at 30% at the time of this writing). The usual thing to do about that is to buy some "YES" shares, and indeed I plan to do that later today.

In this case, though, my belief is based on insider information, so I'm pre-announcing that I plan to trade later today to allow people to comment on whether they want insider trading to happen on this market. If there are good arguments against my making this kind of trade, I will reconsider.

I expect the people betting on this market to want to allow insider trading. Consider this: I am in a position to place a large YES bet and then ask my boyfriend to make me happy by getting on with planecrash. Wouldn't you like to see that happen? I think you would.

Vote YES on insider trading!

predicted NO

@GrettaDuleba please buy a lot of yes so hedging gets cheap. Whatever reason you have for it is acceptable.

predicted NO

@GrettaDuleba If I can (indirectly) commission Planecrash updates for Manifold play money, that seems like a really good deal.