Will Manifold Markets make it able to add a default market resolution
8
Ṁ104Ṁ471resolved Jul 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Details: The creator of a market would be allowed to set a default resolution. This is used if the creator doesn't resolve the market manually before time X after market close. X would also be set by the creator.
This market resolves YES when it happens or when the market closes and the feature is announced.
Otherwise it resolves NO on close.
Previous market including discussion (closed on 2022-05-21 and resolved NO):
https://manifold.markets/MilliOnaire/will-manifold-markets-make-it-able
Overlapping suggestion (forcing default solution): https://manifold.markets/TamuzHod/will-manifold-markets-implement-a-d-42f10c4e90b1
Jun 2, 8:36pm:
Disclaimer: I plan to resolve this market as NO for the following scenario:
All markets resolve to <resolution> <duration> after market close. <resolution> can't be set by the creator.
There are two main reasons for my decision:
1) <resolution> can't be set by the creator
2) The auto resolution is forced on all markets
Feel free to try to change my mind but bet accordingly for the moment.
Close date updated to 2022-06-30 11:59 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ63 | |
| 2 | Ṁ26 | |
| 3 | Ṁ24 | |
| 4 | Ṁ5 | |
| 5 | Ṁ1 |
Sort by:
I seem to not be able to add to the description right now so I'll add my update here in the comments:
Disclaimer: I plan to resolve this market as NO for the following scenario:
All markets resolve to <resolution> <duration> after market close. <resolution> can't be set by the creator.
There are two main reasons for my decision:
1) <resolution> can't be set by the creator
2) The auto resolution is forced on all markets
Feel free to try to change my mind but bet accordingly for the moment.
Upsides:
* Markets that default to NO (will y happen before market close?) can be forced to do so.
* Creators could set default solutions if they fear they might forget about Manifold Markets.
* More complex (creator defined?) mechanisms could be defined down the line for automatic market resolution.
Downside:
* More Options = More possibilities for bugs and more clutter
* Needs to be programmed
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Manifold Markets have a manifold market?
26% chance
Will Manifold implement "resolves-to-multiple" Multiple Choice markets before 2027?
17% chance
When will Manifold Markets allow users to partially resolve dependent multiple choice markets
When will the final resolved market on Manifold be resolved?