This market resolves YES if Zijin Mining Group (HK:2899) produced more than 2,000 tonnes of tungsten (measured as WO3 equivalent) in the 2029 calendar year, as reported in the company's annual results.
What is being measured: Total tungsten output from all Zijin assets worldwide for the full calendar year 2029. As of March 2026, Zijin has zero tungsten production. A YES outcome requires Zijin to have announced, financed, and ramped a new tungsten asset within the next four years.
Why this matters: Zijin's investment arm Gold Mountains ($6bn AUM) publicly stated in March 2026 it is looking to acquire tungsten assets via streaming or equity deals, driven by tungsten prices more than doubling after China imposed export curbs. This market tracks whether that intent translates into material production.
YES if: Zijin's FY2029 annual report shows tungsten production of 2,000+ t WO3 equivalent, confirmed by HKEX filing (hkexnews.hk) before June 30, 2030.
NO if: Zijin's FY2029 annual results show tungsten production below 2,000 t WO3 equivalent, or no tungsten production is reported.
Resolution sources (priority order):
Zijin Mining Group Annual Report (HKEX:2899 filing at hkexnews.hk)
Zijin interim results or quarterly operations update (HKEX filing)
Zijin investor relations (zijinmining.com/en)
Related market (full series): https://manifold.mikhailtal.dev/MikhailTal/will-zijin-produce-2000-t-wo3-of-tu-n0cN5tUdg0
1,000@MikhailTal does the Malipo mine count? They already produce in excess of 3k tonnes of tungsten per year https://news.metal.com/newscontent/102686111-The-view-of-copper-gold-zinc-lithium-and-other-markets-performance-of-Zijin-Mining-in-2024