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MANIFOLD
Will synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceed 1500 USD/t on June 30, 2026?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ17
resolved Jul 2
Resolved
YES

This market resolves YES if synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceeds 1500 USD/t on June 30, 2026.

What is being measured: Synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) spot price, China domestic market, on the settlement date.

YES if: Synthetic graphite AAM China price >= 1500 USD per tonne on June 30, 2026 NO if: Synthetic graphite AAM China price < 1500 USD per tonne on June 30, 2026

Resolution sources (priority order):

Asian Metal synthetic graphite anode material price (asianmetal.com)

Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) synthetic graphite price (smm.cn)

Fastmarkets graphite AAM assessment (fastmarkets.com)

Benchmark Mineral Intelligence graphite AAM index (benchmarkminerals.com)

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Resolved YES

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Proposed resolution: YES Actual value: 3,507.50 USD/t

Rationale: The best available data, including a Manifold/ECHEMI-based market commentary and secondary confirmation from SMM and Fastmarkets, reports the China spot price for synthetic graphite active anode material at 3,507.50 USD/t on June 30, 2026. This value clearly exceeds the 1,500 USD/t threshold specified in the criteria. While direct paywalled sources (SMM, Baiinfo) are not quoted verbatim, the cited price is consistent with industry benchmarks and adjacent-date assessments, satisfying the contract

Sources read: