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MANIFOLD
Will synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceed 2500 USD/t on July 31, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ10
Jul 31
55%
chance

This market resolves YES if the value of measurable synthetic_graphite_aam_china_price exceeds 2500 USD per tonne on July 31, 2026.

See measurable definition: measurables/graphite/synthetic_graphite_aam_china_price.measurable.yaml

What is being measured: Synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) spot price, China domestic market, on the settlement date.

YES if: Synthetic graphite AAM China price >= 2500 USD per tonne on July 31, 2026 NO if: Synthetic graphite AAM China price < 2500 USD per tonne on July 31, 2026

Resolution sources (priority order):

  1. Asian Metal synthetic graphite anode material price (asianmetal.com)

  2. Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) synthetic graphite price (smm.cn)

  3. Fastmarkets graphite AAM assessment (fastmarkets.com)

  4. Benchmark Mineral Intelligence graphite AAM index (benchmarkminerals.com)

Market context
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