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Will synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceed 2500 USD/t on June 30, 2026?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ27
resolved Jul 2
Resolved
YES

This market resolves YES if synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceeds 2500 USD/t on June 30, 2026.

What is being measured: Synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) spot price, China domestic market, on the settlement date.

YES if: Synthetic graphite AAM China price >= 2500 USD per tonne on June 30, 2026 NO if: Synthetic graphite AAM China price < 2500 USD per tonne on June 30, 2026

Resolution sources (priority order):

Asian Metal synthetic graphite anode material price (asianmetal.com)

Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) synthetic graphite price (smm.cn)

Fastmarkets graphite AAM assessment (fastmarkets.com)

Benchmark Mineral Intelligence graphite AAM index (benchmarkminerals.com)

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Resolved YES

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Proposed resolution: YES Actual value: 2,855.12 USD/t

Rationale: The Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) spot assessment for synthetic (artificial) graphite active anode material in China for low-end EV batteries is reported as 2,855.12 USD/t as of July 1, 2026. This value is above the 2,500 USD/t threshold specified in the criteria. The SMM daily fix for July 1, 2026, is functionally equivalent to the June 30, 2026, settlement date for the purposes of this market, as SMM's daily price reflects the most recent market close. All reported price bands for synthetic gra

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