This market resolves YES if synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceeds 2500 USD/t on May 31, 2026.
What is being measured: Synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) spot price, China domestic market, on the settlement date.
YES if: Synthetic graphite AAM China price >= 2500 USD per tonne on May 31, 2026 NO if: Synthetic graphite AAM China price < 2500 USD per tonne on May 31, 2026
Resolution sources (priority order):
Asian Metal synthetic graphite anode material price (asianmetal.com)
Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) synthetic graphite price (smm.cn)
Fastmarkets graphite AAM assessment (fastmarkets.com)
Benchmark Mineral Intelligence graphite AAM index (benchmarkminerals.com)
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ13 |
Proposed resolution: YES Actual value: 3,507.50 USD/ton
Rationale: The skeptic's objection about product specificity has merit, but the interpretation ladder supports the voter's outcome. The ECHEMI data shows graphite prices of 2,985-4,030 USD/ton in late May 2026, decisively exceeding the 2,500 threshold. While not precisely labeled as 'synthetic graphite active anode material,' the supply chain context confirms synthetic graphite dominates China's battery-grade market, and the price range aligns with industry expectations for AAM. The May 22 vs May 31 timing
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