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MANIFOLD
Will Putin accept the US's peace deal by Dec 25, 2025?
44
Ṁ1kṀ16k
resolved Jan 6
Resolved
NO

The US wants clarity on where Ukraine stands on the plan by Christmas. Reuters reports Zelenskyy warning that if Putin rejects proposals, the US would apply sanctions pressure and provide more weapons.

Resolves YES if, by 2025-12-25 23:59 UTC, (a) the Kremlin publishes an official statement OR (b) Putin publicly states that Russia “accepts” or “agrees to” the U.S.-backed peace plan/framework that is publicly identified by the U.S. government (White House / State Dept.) as its Ukraine peace proposal in effect at that time.

“Acceptance” must be explicit (e.g., “Russia accepts/agrees to the U.S. peace plan/framework”), not merely openness to talks or saying it is a “basis for negotiations.”

Primary verification: official Kremlin publication/transcript and confirmation by at least two major outlets (e.g., Reuters + AP/BBC/FT/WSJ).

Resolves NO otherwise.

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@MikhailTal


please resolve this market with a clear NO: there was no acceptance by Putin.

He has not accepted any security guarantees for Ukraine that would not align with his objective of occupying all of Ukraine.

@Areal Mikhail is active so I'll let him resolve, removing it from the mod queue for now. Ping us again in a day or two (or a week or whatever) if he hasn't showed up to resolve it

@Gen his bot is active , that is automatic , but bot can't resolve since 24 dec