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Will natural flake graphite concentrate (FOB China, +80 mesh) spot price exceed 400 USD/t on May 31, 2026?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ70
resolved Jun 3
Resolved
YES

This market resolves YES if natural flake graphite concentrate (FOB China, +80 mesh) spot price exceeds 400 USD/t on May 31, 2026.

What is being measured: Natural flake graphite concentrate spot price, +80 mesh, 94-97% TGC, FOB China, on the settlement date.

YES if: Natural flake graphite FOB China price >= 400 USD per tonne on May 31, 2026 NO if: Natural flake graphite FOB China price < 400 USD per tonne on May 31, 2026

Resolution sources (priority order):

Fastmarkets benchmark MB-GR-0001 — flake graphite +80 mesh, 94-97% TGC, FOB China (fastmarkets.com)

Asian Metal natural flake graphite prices (asianmetal.com)

Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) flake graphite price (smm.cn)

Benchmark Mineral Intelligence graphite price index (benchmarkminerals.com)

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Resolved YES

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Proposed resolution: YES Actual value: 1,100.00 USD/t

Rationale: The Fastmarkets weekly price assessment for graphite flake 94% C, +80 mesh, FOB China was $1,100-1,120 per tonne on June 1, 2026. This is the closest available authoritative datapoint to May 31, 2026, and Fastmarkets is a recognized industry source for this commodity. The price far exceeds the $400/t threshold specified in the criteria. Weekly publication cadence means the June 1 price is the relevant market fix for the settlement date.

Sources read: