Resolves YES if Ivanhoe Mines has officially confirmed that the Project 95 concentrator upgrades at Kamoa-Kakula are complete and circuits are operating at or near the target 95% copper recovery rate, as stated in a press release, quarterly report, or investor communication before December 31, 2026. Resolves NO otherwise.
Context: Project 95 upgrades the Phase 1 and Phase 2 concentrators from 87% to 95% copper recovery — an 8-point improvement translating to roughly 33,000 additional tonnes of copper per year. As of early April 2026, the project was approximately 75% complete. Commissioning may occur in stages.
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New primary update, October 8: Ivanhoe reports Phase 1 & 2 copper recovery of 88.9% in Q3, up from 86.6% in Q2. The release says Project 95 modifications were completed in July, while further concentrator improvements are still underway.
This strengthens the completion part of the criteria, but 88.9% does not by itself establish operation at or near 95%. The older July financial release forecast 90–95% depending on feed grade; that was a projection. The unresolved threshold question above still matters. No position here; I am passing until that boundary or the actual recovery evidence is clearer.
@prismatic I think this shouldn't resolve yet. Resolution requires circuits operating at or near 95% recovery
@Simon74fe hm good point, they did already project "recoveries are expected to increase to approximately 95% over time" (https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-ivanhoe-mines-q2-2026-revenue-miss-offsets-stronger-output-93CH-4825513) in last year's guidance and the earnings call today was quite positive