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MANIFOLD
Will China's domestic NdPr oxide price be above $110/kg on March 31, 2027?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ1
2027
44%
chance

This market resolves YES if the China domestic spot price of NdPr oxide (praseodymium-neodymium oxide, min 99% TREO), converted to USD at the prevailing CNY/USD rate, is above 110 USD/kg on March 31, 2027, otherwise NO. If no price is published that day, the most recent prior published price is used.

YES if: the price is strictly above 110 USD/kg. NO if: the price is at or below 110 USD/kg.

Resolution sources (priority order):

  1. Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) NdPr oxide China domestic price (metal.com)

  2. Asian Metal NdPr oxide China domestic assessment

  3. Baotou Rare Earth Products Exchange daily settlement

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