This market resolves YES if the value of measurable nuclear_zr_sponge_china_price exceeds 38 USD/kg on December 31, 2026.

See measurable definition: measurables/zirconium/nuclear_zr_sponge_china_price.measurable.yaml

What is being measured: Nuclear-grade zirconium sponge ex-works China spot price (USD/kg, Hf < 100 ppm) on or nearest to December 31, 2026.

YES if: China Zr sponge price >= 38 USD/kg on December 31, 2026 NO if: China Zr sponge price < 38 USD/kg on December 31, 2026

Resolution sources (priority order):

1. Asian Metal — zirconium sponge China domestic spot price (asianmetal.com)

2. USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — Zirconium section (usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/mcs)

3. SMM (Shanghai Metals Market) — zirconium sponge price (smm.cn)

4. Argus Metals International — zirconium sponge China