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MANIFOLD
Will China coated spherical graphite (battery grade) exceed 2000 USD/t on April 30, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ15
resolved May 8
Resolved
N/A

This market resolves YES if China coated spherical graphite (battery grade) exceeds 2000 USD/t on April 30, 2026.

What is being measured: Battery-grade coated spherical graphite (≥99.95% C, D50 ~15–20μm) spot price in China's domestic market, in USD/t.

YES if: Coated spherical graphite (battery grade) China spot price ≥ 2000 USD per tonne on April 30, 2026 NO if: Coated spherical graphite (battery grade) China spot price < 2000 USD per tonne on April 30, 2026

Resolution sources (priority order):

Asian Metal spherical graphite price (asianmetal.com)

Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) spherical graphite price (smm.cn)

Fastmarkets battery graphite assessment (fastmarkets.com)

  • Update 2026-05-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is proposing to resolve this market as N/A (cancel) because no authoritative source provides a specific USD/ton price for China coated spherical graphite (battery grade) on April 30, 2026. The listed resolution sources (Asian Metal, SMM, Fastmarkets) do not show a publicly available coated battery-grade spot price for that date.

  • Update 2026-05-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market has been resolved N/A (cancelled) because no authoritative source provides a publicly available USD/ton price for China coated spherical graphite (battery grade) on April 30, 2026. All traders will have their mana returned.

Market context
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Resolved N/A (cancel)

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Proposed resolution: N/A (cancel)

"No authoritative source provides a specific USD/ton price for China coated spherical graphite (battery grade) on April 30, 2026. Closest spot prices for natural flake graphite ($346/t), uncoated spherical graphite ($1,500–2,000/t), and artificial (synthetic) graphite for high-end batteries ($4,200–6,600/t) are reported, but these do not precisely match the contract's requirement for coated spherical battery grade as of that date. SMM, Fastmarkets, and Asian Metal do not show a publicly available April 30, 2026 coated battery-grade spot."

Sources: