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MANIFOLD
Will China coated spherical graphite (battery grade) exceed 3500 USD/t on April 30, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ15
resolved May 7
Resolved
NO

This market resolves YES if the China domestic spot price for coated spherical graphite (battery grade) exceeds USD 3,500 per tonne on April 30, 2026.


What is being measured

Battery-grade coated spherical graphite (≥99.95% C, D50 ~15–20μm), priced in USD per tonne in China's domestic market. This is the anode-grade material consumed by Chinese lithium-ion battery cell makers.

Resolution mechanic

Evaluated once on April 30, 2026 against the published spot price (no path-dependence on intermediate days).


Resolution sources (priority order)

  1. Asian Metal spherical graphite price

  2. Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) spherical graphite price

  3. Fastmarkets battery graphite assessment

Market context
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Resolved NO

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Proposed resolution: NO Actual value: 2,200.00 USD/t

"In the most recent calculation on June 8, Fastmarkets assessed the price of graphite, spherical, 99.95% C, 15 microns, fob China, at $2,000-2,200 per tonne, down by more than 42% year on year compared with $3,500-3,800 per tonne on June 9, 2025. [Fastmarkets]"

Sources: