MANIFOLD
Will Cameco 2028 realized uranium price exceed 95 USD/lb?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ5
2029
48%
chance

This market estimates Cameco's 2028 realized uranium price.

The market settles on March 31, 2029 (3 months after year-end to allow for quarterly reporting). At settlement, an LLM will be asked to estimate Cameco's realized uranium price for 2028 using the trailing 15-month window excluding the last 3 months.

Measurement window: January 1, 2028 through December 31, 2028

Resolution:

  • YES if: 2028 realized uranium price ≥95 USD/lb

  • NO if: 2028 realized uranium price <95 USD/lb

Data source: LLM estimates the value from Cameco's public filings (quarterly earnings releases, MD&A, annual reports, financial statements). Calculate as total uranium revenue ÷ total uranium sales volume over the measurement period.

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