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MANIFOLD
Will ASM KMP zirconium metal production for September 2026 exceed 200 t?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ21
Dec 31
54%
chance

This market resolves YES if ASM KMP zirconium metal production for September 2026 exceeds 200 t.

What is being measured: ASM Korean Metals Plant (KMP) Zr metal production for the quarter ending September 2026, as reported in the ASM quarterly activities report (ASX:ASM).

YES if: KMP Zr metal production for the quarter >= 200 t NO if: KMP Zr metal production for the quarter < 200 t

Resolution sources (priority order):

ASM (Australian Strategic Materials) quarterly activities report (asx.com.au, ASX:ASM) Published ~4 weeks after each quarter end

ASM investor presentations (australianstrategicmaterials.com.au/investors)

ASM half-year or annual results — KMP production and operations section

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Following ASM’s August acquisition and delisting, will an Energy Fuels filing substitute for the specified ASM quarterly activities report? How would this resolve if zirconium metal output is not separately reported? Current company materials describe KMP’s commercial lines as NdPr/NdFeB and zirconium as a possible later product, so I don’t want to confuse rare-earth alloy capacity or shipments with zirconium production. Sources: https://asm-au.com/metals/korean-metals-plant/ and https://investors.energyfuels.com/2026-08-28-Energy-Fuels-Completes-Acquisition-of-Australian-Strategic-Materials