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MANIFOLD
Will ASM KMP zirconium metal production for December 2026 exceed 200 t?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ15
2027
57%
chance
5

This market resolves YES if the value of measurable asm_kmp_zr_metal_production exceeds 200 t on March 31, 2027.

See measurable definition: measurables/zirconium/asm_kmp_zr_metal_production.measurable.yaml

What is being measured: ASM Korean Metals Plant (KMP) Zr metal production for the quarter ending December 2026, as reported in the ASM quarterly activities report (ASX:ASM).

YES if: KMP Zr metal production for the quarter >= 200 t NO if: KMP Zr metal production for the quarter < 200 t

Resolution sources (priority order):

  1. ASM (Australian Strategic Materials) quarterly activities report (asx.com.au, ASX:ASM) Published ~4 weeks after each quarter end

  2. ASM investor presentations (australianstrategicmaterials.com.au/investors)

  3. ASM half-year or annual results — KMP production and operations section

Market context
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