There is a special election April 8, 2025 to fill a San Jose, California, USA City Council seat in District 3. The major candidates are:
Gabby Chavez-Lopez (labor)
Matthew Quevado (business/Mayor Matt Mahan)
Anthony Tordillos (YIMBY)
Irene Smith (fiscal hawk, community input)
If a candidate gets a majority in the election, this market will resolve 100% to that candidate. If no candidate gets a majority, then the election will go to a runoff in June. Then this market will resolve 50% each to the top two vote-getters that go to the runoff.
https://www.kqed.org/news/12030375/san-jose-district-3-special-election-whos-running-and-how-to-vote
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New market for runoff election: https://manifold.markets/MikeChenSF/san-jose-city-council-district-3-el
Recount results will be announced Monday April 28. https://sanjosespotlight.com/san-jose-district-3-special-election-recount-begins/
Tordillos is ahead of Quevado by five votes. The county will do a mandatory recount because the margin is so close.
https://www.kqed.org/news/12036612/recount-decide-spot-san-jose-council-election-runoff
Tordillos is ahead of Quevado by one vote https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/san-jose-district-3-candidates-still-competing-for-second-place/ar-AA1CV6j2
Chavez-Lopez leads but does not have 50%; runoff likely. Tordillos is within 1 vote of Quevado for 2nd place.