Will Balsa Research have 2 or more full-time employees at its five year mark?

Question

For context:
https://manifold.markets/charity/balsa-research
https://thezvi.substack.com/p/announcing-balsa-research
https://thezvi.substack.com/p/why-balsa-research-is-worthwhile/comment/9633613

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 59% chance (4 traders, as of Jul 26, 2026).

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