I have a 3-year old son. At market close I will read out the options in reverse order (highest percentage option gets to be spoken last) and ask him to pick one. In the highly likely event that he picks multiple options or can't decide between them, I will treat that as a "shortlist" and repeat the process. I will repeat until a final decision is made. If no decision can be made, I will resolve to prob split between all finalists.
FINE PRINT:
I reserve the right to disqualify any options I don't want to read out: if you promise him candy in exchange for choosing your answer, I'm not going to read it out because I don't want to be on the hook for the ensuing temper tantrum when there isn't any candy.
My rule about trading in my own markets when there's some discretion in the resolution process is that I allow myself to trade, but commit to owning zero shares at resolution time.
Some people are adding emojis. I will in fact show him the answers as I'm reading them to him, so that's a viable strategy
1,000π Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | αΉ1,934 | |
| 2 | αΉ917 | |
| 3 | αΉ658 | |
| 4 | αΉ414 | |
| 5 | αΉ232 |
I spontaneously tacked this on to the marshmallow test livestream. If anyone lost mana due to the lack of communication (E.g. left limit orders up due to thinking resolution was far off) I have some live trading winnings I can pay back your losses with.
guys he's gonna say all of them there's no reason to only bet up the ones he says when he says them
@TheAllMemeingEye I expect @MichaelWheatley to read all of these in a monotone voice exactly as written. "boom head explode emoji open parenthesis in a really..."
No way Farty McFartface should be at only 1 - 2%. Fart jokes are one of the key pillars of kid humor.
Is this some sort of jailbreak for toddlers to get them to bypass constraints? Or just normal token overloading?
@MichaelWheatley I've never interacted with a toddler for long enough to know if you're being serious
This is a great idea, I really like this market. You could derive some interesting variations from it. For example: "Which character is the strongest, according to my toddler?". You print out pictures of the suggested characters and let the toddler decide who would win a fight, with tournament progression.
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
Why use play money?
Why use play money?