Will Apple’s Siri will be replaced by, or upgraded to, an assistant that runs on a LLM by July 1, 2024?

67

1.1kṀ18k

resolved Jul 7

Resolved

NO

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Technical AI Timelines

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ161
2		Ṁ138
3		Ṁ121
4		Ṁ114
5		Ṁ94

People are also trading

Will Apple have a top tier AI tool developed in house and available to consumers by the of 2025?

Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2026?

Which incumbent voice assistant will be first to incorporate an LLM?

Will Apple release a MacBook with LLM integration built in, by 2025 end?

Will GPT-4 be integrated into mainstream virtual assistant technologies (Alexa or Siri), by 2025?

Will Apple power Siri using an AI thats the IP of Anthropic before 2026?

Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2027?

Sort by:

Resolves NO.

@MichaelL Could you please clarify whether a beta iOS release counts for this market?

He can't change the rules of the question now, so it's pretty obvious that it will become "No" as beta releases shouldn't count because it will not be upgraded for the majority of people using iPhones and the way the question/market is structured represents a general release.

predictedNO

Does it count beta OS? The general release of iOS 18 is probably going to be around September.

Why July 1? New Siri would likely be tied to an iOS or MacOS release cycle, so mid-September at the earliest would be my expectation.

Running Siri as an LLM would be extraordinarily expensive.

People are also trading

Will Apple have a top tier AI tool developed in house and available to consumers by the of 2025?

Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2026?

Which incumbent voice assistant will be first to incorporate an LLM?

Will Apple release a MacBook with LLM integration built in, by 2025 end?

Will GPT-4 be integrated into mainstream virtual assistant technologies (Alexa or Siri), by 2025?

Will Apple power Siri using an AI thats the IP of Anthropic before 2026?

Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2027?

Related questions

Will Apple have a top tier AI tool developed in house and available to consumers by the of 2025?

Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2026?

Which incumbent voice assistant will be first to incorporate an LLM?

Will Apple release a MacBook with LLM integration built in, by 2025 end?

Will GPT-4 be integrated into mainstream virtual assistant technologies (Alexa or Siri), by 2025?

Will Apple power Siri using an AI thats the IP of Anthropic before 2026?

Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2027?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy