
What will be the last iPhon to be made in China?
What will be the last iPhon to be made in China?
1
125Ṁ162030
15%
iPhone 15
21%
iPhone 16
21%
iPhone 17
21%
iPhone 18
21%
iPhone 19+
The actual release may not follow this numerical sequence, and the chosen designations are placeholders for the flagship iterations sequentially succeeding the current model, with the understanding that the specific numerical nomenclature may vary. This excludes multiple models in the same generation (i.e. the iPhone 15, 15 Pro, Plus, and Pro Max are all considered versions of the 'iPhone 15')
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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