This is a pretty direct duplicate of https://manifold.markets/TheSkeward/google-layoffs-2023q1, just extended over the first half of 2023.

This market will resolve positively if an official email or announcement from Sundar Pichai or an official Google representative explicitly announces either X% layoffs where X>=5, or X layoffs where X(/#Google employees) >= 0.05. The last public data I'm aware of set the number of Google employees around 160,000, so we'll say that would be layoffs of 8,000 employees.