This is a pretty direct duplicate of https://manifold.markets/TheSkeward/google-layoffs-2023q1, just extended over the first half of 2023.
This market will resolve positively if an official email or announcement from Sundar Pichai or an official Google representative explicitly announces either X% layoffs where X>=5, or X layoffs where X(/#Google employees) >= 0.05. The last public data I'm aware of set the number of Google employees around 160,000, so we'll say that would be layoffs of 8,000 employees.
1,000
3.00I think the condition has pretty clearly been met, but given that this is a derivative of @TheSkeward's markets, I will wait for his resolution.
@RogerYang @MichaelBlume i wanna ask for advice on how to resolve such markets. I've got a few on Amz and Microsoft. Wondering whether i wait till the end of quarter or whether the announcement counts
@firstuserhere Not sure tbh... If you're unsure, N/A is generally a safe option? I personally wouldn't mind.
I was under the impression that your market was going to resolve based on announcements/news initially, but you then clarified that it would based on numbers released in q1. A change in resolution criteria is usually enough to result n/a and you can always remake.
I think Amazon might not release exact numbers, so it would be nice to free up some of that mana.