Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" for each individual listed if Pope Leo XIV explicitly mentions them by name in any official papal document, speech, or publication. The document has to be authored or signed off by the pope. The market will resolve to "No" if there is no such mention by the end of 2027. Reliable sources for verification include official Vatican publications:
https://www.vatican.va
https://press.vatican.va

As an example of citation see the following text:
https://www.vatican.va/roman_curia/congregations/cfaith/documents/rc_ddf_doc_20250128_antiqua-et-nova_en.html
in which Pope Francis cites John McCarthy and Alan Turing.

Background

The CAIS Statement on AI Risk, released on May 30, 2023, highlighted the potential existential threats posed by artificial intelligence. Signatories included prominent figures such as Geoffrey Hinton, Yoshua Bengio, Demis Hassabis, Sam Altman, Dario Amodei, Stuart Russell, David Chalmers, Ray Kurzweil, Max Tegmark, Eliezer Yudkowsky, and Toby Ord.

Pope Leo XIV, elected in May 2025, has identified artificial intelligence as a significant challenge for humanity. In his inaugural address, he emphasized the need to address AI's impact on human dignity, justice, and labor. (apnews.com)

Considerations

While Pope Leo XIV has expressed concern over AI's implications, it remains uncertain whether he will reference specific individuals associated with the CAIS Statement in his official communications. Traders should monitor Vatican releases and reputable news sources for any such mentions.

Associated markets:

Will Pope Leo XIV cite in his text the CAIS Statement on AI Risk before 2028?

Will Pope Leo XIV cite in his text Nick Bostrom before 2028?