
1
Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be generally available in the European Union on June 30, 2024?
16
closes 2024
84%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
From https://metaculus.com/questions/17260/chatgpt-in-europe-on-june-30-2024/
From Reuters on May 24, 2023, "OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said on Wednesday the ChatGPT maker might consider leaving Europe if it could not comply with the upcoming artificial intelligence (AI) regulations by the European Union."
The EU AI Act "regulates the providers of artificial intelligence systems, and entities making use of them in a professional capacity." As of May 24, 2024, Metaculus expects the AI Act to be passed between Oct 2023 and Nov 2024, with a median of April 2024, though OpenAI could choose to cease offering ChatGPT in Europe earlier than that, or for some other reason entirely.
Sort by:
12 YES payouts
Ṁ128
Ṁ122
Ṁ74
Ṁ62
Ṁ53
Ṁ16
Ṁ15
Ṁ3













Related markets
Will there be an AI language model that surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?60%
Will ChatGPT or equivalent AI chatbot be able to recall the information across all our chat history by 2024?55%
Will OpenAI close or limit the free version of Chat GPT to five or fewer requests per day by the end of 2023?17%
Will language models or similar natural language processing technologies, such as ChatGPT, be integrated into dialogue trees for NPCs in triple-A games by the end of 2023?15%
Will OpenAI release a plagiarism detector which searches ChatGPT-generated content in the next year?8%
Will language models or similar natural language processing technologies, such as ChatGPT, be integrated into dialogue trees for NPCs in triple-A games by the end of 202466%
Related markets
Will there be an AI language model that surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?60%
Will ChatGPT or equivalent AI chatbot be able to recall the information across all our chat history by 2024?55%
Will OpenAI close or limit the free version of Chat GPT to five or fewer requests per day by the end of 2023?17%
Will language models or similar natural language processing technologies, such as ChatGPT, be integrated into dialogue trees for NPCs in triple-A games by the end of 2023?15%
Will OpenAI release a plagiarism detector which searches ChatGPT-generated content in the next year?8%
Will language models or similar natural language processing technologies, such as ChatGPT, be integrated into dialogue trees for NPCs in triple-A games by the end of 202466%