I've found out that my mental health improves if I stay optimistic and bet on the thing I want instead of the thing I think will most likely happen. Maybe that's a weakness of a market without a real currency

@M: Thanks for bringing this up; this was a proposal in part by a Metaculus admin, but we'll check with the official Metaculus team as well!

basically the same as https://manifold.markets/Duncan/will-russia-control-kyiv-as-of-apri

BTW, is it really OK to copy all their questions? (copyright for start is likely applying)

From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/9939/kyiv-to-fall-to-russian-forces-by-april-2022/

Close date updated to 2022-03-31 11:59 pm

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ260
2		Ṁ132
3		Ṁ44
4		Ṁ27
5		Ṁ24

🏅 Top traders

Related questions