Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022?
79
334
resolved Apr 3
Resolved
NO
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bought αΉ€300 of NO
Unlikely to happen.
bought αΉ€50 of NO
Moving towards Metaculus prediction
bought αΉ€20 of NO
I've found out that my mental health improves if I stay optimistic and bet on the thing I want instead of the thing I think will most likely happen. Maybe that's a weakness of a market without a real currency
bought αΉ€1 of YES
@M: Thanks for bringing this up; this was a proposal in part by a Metaculus admin, but we'll check with the official Metaculus team as well!
bought αΉ€20 of NO
basically the same as https://manifold.markets/Duncan/will-russia-control-kyiv-as-of-apri BTW, is it really OK to copy all their questions? (copyright for start is likely applying)