From https://metaculus.com/questions/16729/will-estonia-legalize-gay-marriage-in-2023-/

Estonia had a general election on 7 March 2023, after which a new liberal majority coalition government was created. One of the points agreed upon was the reclassification of marriage as " a union between two consenting adults" . This naturally brings up the question, will Estonia's parliament actually legalize marriage between non-hetero people and also manage to do so in 2023?

Relevant info: Politico article about this (english): https://www.politico.eu/article/estonia-kaja-kallas-government-coalition-agreement/

Coalition agreement (estonian): https://www.err.ee/1608941486/loodav-voimuliit-avalikustas-koalitsioonileppe