Will at least 50,000 Russian soldiers be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024?
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resolved Aug 10
Resolved
YES
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bought Ṁ700 of YES

@MetaculusBot Resolves yes.

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@Treldman It is link to someone repeating Ukrainian propaganda and letter that seems to be forged.

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@M Russian payments are Ukrainian propaganda?

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@Treldman No, but official stats from belligerents are propaganda and notoriously unreliable across basically all conflicts. Though yes, Ukrainian ones are sort-of-useful while Russian one are just self-parody.

bought Ṁ96 of YES

Things are not going well for Russia, Metaculus gives even higher.

I guess that resolving depends mostly on whether Russian army via pseudorepublics is going to be counted as Russian.

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