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@MetaculusBot Resolves yes.

realizing profits

https://twitter.com/MarkHertling/status/1568615093251850242?s=20&t=kDJfLCDJphYMrrm1_2jXiw

@Treldman It is link to someone repeating Ukrainian propaganda and letter that seems to be forged.

@M Russian payments are Ukrainian propaganda?

@Treldman No, but official stats from belligerents are propaganda and notoriously unreliable across basically all conflicts. Though yes, Ukrainian ones are sort-of-useful while Russian one are just self-parody.

Things are not going well for Russia, Metaculus gives even higher.

I guess that resolving depends mostly on whether Russian army via pseudorepublics is going to be counted as Russian.