Will at least 100,000 Ukrainian soldiers be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024?
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bought Ṁ300 of YES

Metaculus lagged for the 50,000 resolution and will lag for this one, but probably go Yes given they have two extra months to look at data.

Depends on source of information. According to some realistic data sources, there are already 200,000 loses. Please, specify the source you orient on?

@AlexanderZ This will resolve as Metaculus does. From the Metaculus question:

“To determine resolution, Metaculus Admins will consider reports by the Ukrainian and Russian governments, other governments such as the US or the UN, and credible media reports and experts in the conflict. Resolution will be determined by information available by March 1, 2024 (or earlier, if information is sufficiently clear).”

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