Will any country invoke Article 5 by March 31, 2022?
Basic
48
Ṁ4995resolved Apr 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/9933/nato-article-5-invocation-by-march-31-2022/
Close date updated to 2022-03-23 11:59 pm
Mar 17, 10:58pm: Related with end of year date: https://manifold.markets/MetaculusBot/will-any-nato-country-invoke-articl
Mar 17, 11:26pm: Related with June date: https://manifold.markets/MetaculusBot/will-any-nato-country-invoke-articl-7eaa930b70e4
Close date updated to 2022-03-30 11:59 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by the end of 2030?
45% chance
What is the next country to invoke NATO Article 5?
Any country invokes article 5 of NATO before 2025
5% chance
Will any country threaten withdrawal from the UN by 2028?
54% chance
Will any country formally leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty in 2025?
22% chance
Will Russia conduct a military action that directly triggers NATO's Article 5 by January 21, 2025?
4% chance
What is the next country to invoke NATO Article 4?
Project 2025: If elected, will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act within 3 months?
18% chance
Will the United States refuse to honor an article 5 call by a NATO country by 2029 year end?
10% chance
Will any country withdraw from NATO by the start of 2032?
23% chance