@MennoWagenaar
In what time frame? The question closes at the end of 2023 - Trump will not be even a president by then. To what date will this resolve NO if Trump is elected and U.S. remains in NATO?

If Trump is not elected, the question will be resolved N/A?

@Irigi Yes, I cannot bet without this information; good shout.

https://manifold.markets/bf/will-the-gop-try-to-pull-the-us-out

Will the GOP try to pull the U.S. out of NATO by 2027?

39% chance. Will an attempt be made by the GOP to pull the U.S. out of NATO by Jan 1st 2027?