For how long Kursk region will be at least partly under control of Ukraine?
76
1kṀ17k
resolved Mar 23
Resolved
YES
At least until 1st Jan 2025
Resolved
NO
At least until 2030
Resolved
NO
At least until 2029
Resolved
NO
At least until 2028
Resolved
NO
At least until 1st July 2027
Resolved
NO
At least until 1st Jan 2027
Resolved
NO
At least until 1st July 2026
Resolved
NO
At least until 1st Jan 2026
Resolved
NO
At least until 1st Sept 2025
Resolved
NO
At least until 1st May 2025

Zelenskyy says Ukraine plans to indefinitely hold Russian territory it has seized

For how long will Ukraine manage to do that?

Resolves Yes once a respective date is reached and some part (at least 100 km^2) of Kursk region is still under Ukrainian control. In case of Russia fully taking the region back (i.e. Ukraine controls less than 100 km^2), all dates that haven’t been achieved yet will immediately be resolved No.

100 square kilometres roughly equals to 40 square miles.

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@traders ok guys, the question is resolved, last thing I’d like to add is that on DeepStateMap there also seems to be 64 square kilometers of territory marked as “unknown”, meaning that it’s unclear who’s controlling it, and at first I had an idea of counting it as “50% controlled by Ukraine”, which, essentially, together with 80.7 kilometers of territory marked as “liberated”, would still give us more than 100 square kilometers controlled by Ukraine, but then I thought that it also would make sense to count this territory as “not under control of any side right now”, and so I’ve decided to just resolve this. Hope that everyone’s OK with that. Thanks to everyone for trading on this market..

@Daniel_MC 80kms now

@Daniel_MC thank you.

@traders If there won’t be any objections, I’ll resolve everything what’s left as No soon.

Looking back, I guess I should’ve just make this question as “resolves No the moment Russia regains 100% of Kursk region”…well, will be smarter next time.

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