Which party wins the most seats in the Netherlands (Dutch) 2025 election
27
1kṀ18k
resolved Nov 8
100%99.1%
Other
0.2%
CDA
0.2%
GL/PvdA
0.3%
PVV
0.3%
VVD

Ties are resolved based on alphabetical order.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ1,872
2Ṁ438
3Ṁ352
4Ṁ196
5Ṁ125
Sort by:

Just for the record, I would have been fine with a 50-50 resolution as well, since this question is aimed at seats, not votes. Like

@EvdZ If that is what the rules say. In this case I went with alphabetical order and had that in the rules from the start.

@MaybeNotDepends oh you are totally right, I remember reading this some time ago but forgot before commenting. Thanks for reminding me, and for resolving according to your criteria!

The funny Dutch tradition is that if your party does well you have a cake the next day! If your party does poorly, no cake =(

D66 probably wins by 1 seat once all the mail in vote comes in.

If PVV and D66 get the same number of seats, will it resolve 50/50?

@MarnixV

Ties are resolved based on alphabetical order.


I think this means D66 would win.

@StevenK Oh shit haha, that's an odd rule, but okay. Rule's a rule I guess...

@MarnixV It's standard practice for prediction markets.

bought Ṁ1,250 YES

Why didn't I create a D66 option. Oops!

@MaybeNotDepends there's a typo there, right? PPV should be PVV

@someoneR5c8l Yes. thanks. Corrected now.

opinions in the comments

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy