Will the Oregon Rebate qualify for the November 2024 ballot?
11
103
170
Sep 1
52%
chance

The Oregon Rebate is a proposed Oregon ballot measure that would:

  1. Remove the $100,000 cap on the minimum corporate tax

  2. Impose an additional minimum corporate tax of 3% for firms with Oregon sales above $25 million

  3. Distribute the revenue generated by (1) and (2) equally among Oregon residents (estimated $750 per year)

To qualify for the November 2024 ballot, it needs 117,173 valid signatures by July 5. As of January 30, the campaign has submitted 56,845 signatures (49%; ht @LukasDay).

This will resolve YES if the Oregon Secretary of State certifies that the Oregon Rebate has qualified for the November 2024 ballot.

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I made a similar market last month. Curious to see how these odds compare.

predicts YES

@LukasDay Ah sorry I assumed it was niche enough, should have searched! Good to know about the SOS page for it, I've updated the description with that link.