Will the next poll find that most Gaza Strip residents support the October 7 attacks?
11
129
230
resolved Dec 26
Resolved
YES

This will resolve YES if the next poll to ask Gaza Strip residents about the October 7 attacks finds that over 50% express support.

This will resolve NO if the next poll to ask Gaza Strip residents about the October 7 attacks finds that 50% or less express support.

This will resolve N/A if no further polls (of reasonable quality) ask Gaza Strip residents about the October 7 attacks in 2023.

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You may wish to extend the market close date @MaxGhenis, it's currently set to close in a few days.

Actually scratch that, resolves YES @MaxGhenis:

Here is a poll conducted by the Palestinian Center for Policy Survey and Research between Nov 22 and Dec 2nd, published Dec 13th:

https://www.pcpsr.org/sites/default/files/Poll%2090%20English%20press%20release%2013%20Dec%202023%20Final%20New.pdf

It shows 57% of Gaza Strip residents surveyed supporting the Oct 7th attack:

predicted YES

@MarcusAbramovitch Below 60% is an improvement. Though scary that it's still 57% after what's happened in the past 2-3 months.

On November 14, Arab World for Research and Development released a poll finding that 63.6% of Gaza Strip residents supported the October 7 attacks.

bought Ṁ10 of YES