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Will PolicyEngine publish its UK Autumn Budget analysis by 07:00 GMT on 29 Oct?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ18
Oct 28
50%
chance

Resolution. Resolves YES if a Wayback Machine capture timestamped at or before 07:00 GMT on Thursday 29 October 2026 shows both of these live at, or linked from, policyengine.org/uk/autumn-budget-2026: a written briefing with named authors on the Budget's household measures, and the interactive dashboard updated for the Budget. PolicyEngine will submit a capture at publication and any trader may submit one. PolicyEngine's stated target is 07:00; its commitment to its funder is 48 hours.

PolicyEngine controls or influences whether this market resolves YES. PolicyEngine staff and contractors do not trade in this market.

If the Budget moves to another date in 2026, this market follows it and the close time moves with it. If no Budget is delivered by 31 December 2026, resolves N/A. Created by Max Ghenis of PolicyEngine (https://www.policyengine.org/uk) as a public record of what PolicyEngine expected before the Budget. The creator may trade in this market; resolution follows the published Budget documents.

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