Will manifold predict the exact POTY headline?
8
100Ṁ130
Dec 10
26%
chance

This resolves Yes if the winning option on https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/time-person-of-the-year-exact-headl?r=TWF4RQ was at 10% or higher at the time the headline was released.
Resolves No if the winning option was Other.

Time Person of the Year, exact headline [IMPOSSIBLE EDITION]
The EXACT STRING of the MAIN Time Person of the Year (POTY) headline. We ignore spacing and newlines. GenZ and Gen Z are the same headline, but they are different from genz (capitalization) or Generation Z. Update 2025-12-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): There are multiple answer options with the same text but different capitalization (e.g., "Artificial Intelligence" vs "artificial intelligence"). These are treated as distinct answers and will resolve separately based on the exact capitalization used in Time's headline.
TIME Person of the Year
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