Current Position:
The highest traded answer at market close will be chosen. All other answers will resolve N/A.
The chosen answer will resolve Yes if the player who makes the move ultimately wins, No if they lose, and 50% if the game ends in a draw.
Tomorrow, a market will decide Black's move.
Answers must be legal, correctly disambiguated moves. Answers created in the final two hours of the market and edited answers are ineligible to be chosen.
Resigning and offering draws are not legal moves.
Ties (using the user view, not the api) are broken by (# yes holders - # no holders).
Who will win? https://manifold.markets/MaxE/who-will-win-futarchy-chess?r=TWF4RQ
Previous moves:
1,000@MaxE Is this including rounding/what the manifold UI shows, or is it only if it’s the literally exact prob, or like some sort of rounding to x decimals to account for floating point errors
@Dssc If both answers traded into a limit order they might be at the exact same percentage. If the last bet was against the AMM it would be very unlikely.
@Eliza There is a sorting option called High% which will keep the answers in order, you could say that is authoritative.