If someone wants to manipulate the market to 0, they need to keep the price under 20. If someone wants to manipulate to 80, they just need to keep it above 20 and the market will balance itself. Therefore, 80 is much more likely

The market can never be above 80 as you are always incentivized to sell when it’s above 80

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at the time of its closure, the probability percentage displayed falls strictly between 20% and 80%. If the closing probability is 20% or less, or 80% or more, the market will resolve to "No". The closing probability is determined by the final percentage shown on the platform at the market's end time.

Resolution criteria

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