Will H5N1 kill more than 10 million people in 2023?
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22
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resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

This question resolves to YES if during the early months of 2024, a consensus of credible scientific estimates indicate that Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 killed more than 10 million people worldwide in the year 2023. A consensus is defined as unanimity among all highly credible scientific publications that presently exist at that time. Otherwise, this question resolves to NO.

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A Tweet by Daniel Eth💡

Here's a link to one of them: https://manifold.markets/MatthewBarnett/will-h5n1-kill-more-than-10-million

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