
Will an earthquake of 4.0 or more with an epicenter within 5 km of San Francisco happen in 2024?
Basic
15
Ṁ899resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Since 8/2015:

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ75 | |
2 | Ṁ20 | |
3 | Ṁ18 | |
4 | Ṁ8 | |
5 | Ṁ7 |
Related questions
Related questions
Will San Francisco experience a major earthquake before 2030?
33% chance
Will an earthquake 6.0 or greater with an epicenter within 50 miles of San Francisco occur by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater before 2030?
22% chance
Will an earthquake over 6.4 magnitude happen before 2026 in the USA?
73% chance
Will the Cascadia megaearthquake (magnitude 8.0 or above) in the Pacific NW happen by 2035?
20% chance
Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 8.0 or greater before 2030?
8% chance
Will a major earthquake with a magnitude of 8.5 or greater occur in the Pacific Ring of Fire before the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will the New Madrid fault produce a catastrophic earthquake in 2024?
10% chance