Will NASA's Artemis I launch before (end of day) Sept 6th?

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resolved Sep 7

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Question resolves to YES if the SLS on Artemis 1 clears the launch tower during an intentional launch attempt before close date.

Aug 18, 10:23pm: related markets

Aug 29, 5:45am: ~~Will NASA's Artemis I launch before Sept 6th?~~ → Will NASA's Artemis I launch before (end of day) Sept 6th?

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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There's still technically a chance.

predicted NO

@MattP But only intentional launch attempts count.

predicted YES

@TimP Very true.

Misclick insurance

predicted YES

@Yev I like the way you think.

Hope springs eternal.

Follow-up markets:

predicted NO

Claim that NASA has already decided not to attempt a launch within this period: https://twitter.com/SciGuySpace/status/1566153916307341315

predicted NO

Scrubbed for Sep 3. https://twitter.com/thesheetztweetz/status/1566083406714355715

Clarified question title. This has always been what it's meant (description says close date, and close date has not changed) but figured this would be clearer for shudder quick bets.

predicted YES

FYI bettors, I embedded a bunch of related markets in the description.

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