Conditional on Donald Trump being indicted before the 2024 presidential election, will he win said election?
54
1kṀ8807
resolved Nov 6
Resolved
YES

Question resolves to YES if Donald Trump is indicted in any US jurisdiction and then goes on to win the 2024 presidential election. Resolves to NO if he is indicted and does not win. Resolves to N/A if he is not indicted before the election.

Sep 4, 12:14am: clarification (hopefully well in advance) - if for some reason he was secretly indicted (aka it was sealed and not leaked before election day), that would still count for N/A resolution. This market is about the political effect of an indictment, so an indictment no one knows about until after the election doesn't meet the conditional.

Oct 2, 9:11am:

Sister market:

Oct 2, 9:14am: one last clarification - I'm only counting criminal indictments. I've seen some people refer to civil cases such as Tish James' as "indictments" - I don't know if that's correct in some technical sense (I don't think it is) but to be very clear, I am not counting it.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ863
2Ṁ171
3Ṁ156
4Ṁ118
5Ṁ72
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy