Will my halloween costume 2025 be the yeezy swastika t-shirt and brown face paint (realistic blackface) to go as Kanye?
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Nov 1
31%
chance

This resolves if I post a picture here of me wearing it. A high bar to meet, I know. Vote this down and add lots of mana if you want to incentivize me doing it.

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Betting NO because I will make a simple website and host the picture next to any personal information. I can maintain that indefinitely.

@LiamZ i appreicate you incentivizing more downward liquidity Liam but your enthusiasm to indirectly imminentize my problematic outfit is a bit concerning.

@MattF ideally it can get picked up in facial recognition over the next 5 years.

@LiamZ we'd just have to maintain current technology for that to happen so not having an apocalyptic event would be ideal indeed.

@MattF no I mean, the tech is here just hopefully the picture gets tagged as you by such a system in addition to any personal info so it can come up for future employers, etc.

@LiamZ that world be good but as we all know, racists and nazis are the ones with all the systemic power, their willingness to be evil is part of what allows them to have any power over others in the first place. So this sadly probably will only improve my chances of being hired (unless... You think maybe those in power are not the kind of oppressors who would look the other way on my Halloween costume?). Don't you worry one of these greedy apathetic pigs might see you hosting a website with a picture of someone dressed as Kanye and for whatever strange reason choose not to employ you?

@MattF I know how to host things anonymously and if asked I would link this thread. Most people do not like blackface and nazis and most employers are included in that.

You might want to look over your all-time profit here and ask yourself if there might be gaps in your understanding of things.

@WilliamGunn you should discuss with people voting "No" your view of my capacity for bad judgement.

This resolves if I post a picture here of me wearing it

Wearing it in private is easy, in public less so, I bet you wouldn't walk through a busy street in a low income majority African American neighborhood doing this

@TheAllMemeingEye "low income majority american" still using American double speak in 2025? Tsktsk

American low income neighborhoods do indeed have a globally recognized as anomalous problem with violence, thanks for calling that out!

@MattF sorry I meant specifically African American, "American American" was autocorrect lol

filled a Ṁ100 NO at 24% order

I'm betting NO because I don't think you'll risk getting beaten up for a little fake Internet money.

@CraigDemel What if I threaten to beat you up for voting No? Would that change your mind?

@MattF If you're thinking about Halloween already and posting about it in a prediction market, then you can probably look ahead enough to realize it's a terrible idea.

@CraigDemel I can be very impulsive in the moment. Also who knows what will be socially acceptable by then. This market is partially a barometer on people's world models for that.

@MattF Thanks. Barometer wise, I will bet that people will still get really mad about swastikas.

@CraigDemel cant help but notice you didnt make a judgement on the blackface. Id consider doing that but then i wouldnt be going as kanye west anymore, and it might be a bit offensive.

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