Will Ivanka Trump release a tell-all book about Donald Trump before the 2024 U.S. Presidential election?
➕
Plus
29
Ṁ8352
resolved Nov 5
Resolved
NO

꧁∙·▫ₒₒ▫ᵒᴼᵒ▫ₒₒ▫꧁ MarkMyWords Series ꧂▫ₒₒ▫ᵒᴼᵒ▫ₒₒ▫·∙꧂

https://www.reddit.com/r/MarkMyWords/comments/1fjheua/mmw_ivanka_will_release_a_tell_all_book_before/

Resolution Criteria:

  1. The market will resolve as "Yes" if:

    • Ivanka Trump publishes a book before November 5, 2024 (Election Day) that:
      a) Provides significant new information about Donald Trump's personal life or presidency
      b) Contains critical or negative portrayals of Donald Trump
      c) Describes Ivanka's childhood experiences with her father in a negative light

    • The book must be officially released and available for purchase by the public

  2. The market will resolve as "No" if:

    • No such book is published by Ivanka Trump before November 5, 2024

    • Ivanka Trump releases a book that does not meet the criteria outlined above

  3. Resolution will be based on:

    • Official announcements from publishers

    • Reputable news sources reporting on the book's content

    • Public availability of the book for purchase

  4. The market will resolve as "Invalid" if:

    • Ivanka Trump passes away before the resolution date

Closing Date:
This market will close for trading on November 5, 2024 (Election Day), or when a qualifying book is officially released, whichever comes first.Additional Notes:

  • Ghostwritten books authorized by Ivanka Trump will be considered valid for this market

  • The financial success or sales figures of the book are not relevant to the resolution of this market

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ1,000 NO

@MattF it's election day, people are voting, no book. resolves NO?

@Ziddletwix My first instinct was to just play it safe and wait until tonight, but I guess freeing up mana as early as possible is virtuous, so i'll resolve now and suffer the consequences of Ivanka doing a last minute book drop in an hour.

I want to believe

Must all conditions listed under a), b), c) be satisfied or only one?

@AntoineBonnet I would think all three. What scenario are you imagining that only has two and still matches the general intent of the original post?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules