https://www.reddit.com/r/MarkMyWords/comments/1g3qjs9/mmw_elon_musk_will_bid_on_infowars/
Resolution Criteria
The market will resolve as "Yes" if:
Elon Musk, Tesla, X (formerly Twitter), or any other company majority-owned by Musk submits a verifiable bid for InfoWars or any of its significant assets.
The bid is confirmed by the court-appointed federal bankruptcy trustee, Christopher R. Murray, or through official court documents.
The market will resolve as "No" if:
No bid is submitted by Musk or his companies by the November 8, 2024 deadline.
Musk publicly states he will not bid on InfoWars before the deadline.
Trading Rules
Trading opens immediately and closes on November 7, 2024, at 11:59 PM ET.
Participants can buy or sell shares of "Yes" or "No" outcomes.
Each share will pay out $1 if correct, $0 if incorrect.
Information Sources
Official statements from Elon Musk, his companies, or their representatives.
Court documents and statements from the bankruptcy trustee.
Credible media reports confirming bid submissions.
Special Conditions
If the auction is cancelled or postponed beyond the expiration date, the market will be voided and all trades refunded.
Any attempt by Musk to acquire InfoWars through means other than the official auction process will not be considered for this market.
1,000Hello everyone!
So I just learned the bidding process is not public, so we will only know if Elon wins or loses the bid. I think I will be declaring this one N/A if that is ok with everyone, since there is no way to resolve if Elon actually placed a bid or not unless he wins, and I'd rather not drag this market out waiting for that (it is uncertain when a buyer will be selected).
If you are ok with this being declared N/A please like this comment, otherwise let me know what you'd prefer.
@MattF Seems fair. And it wouldn’t be great to do “resolves if he wins to confirm he bids” because then it basically becomes a free roll (can resolve YES but not NO)