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MANIFOLD
Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for the 2028 U.S. Presidential election if he loses the 2024 election?
23
Ṁ1kṀ11k
resolved Feb 15
Resolved
NO

꧁∙·▫ₒₒ▫ᵒᴼᵒ▫ₒₒ▫꧁ MarkMyWords Series ꧂▫ₒₒ▫ᵒᴼᵒ▫ₒₒ▫·∙꧂

The Mark My Words series takes actionable and popular posts from the Mark My Words subreddit and turns them into a prediction market. Hope you enjoy the format!

https://www.reddit.com/r/MarkMyWords/comments/1eov6m2/mmw_if_djt_loses_in_current_election_he_will_be/

Resolution Criteria:

  1. The market will resolve as "Yes" if:

    • Donald Trump loses the 2024 U.S. Presidential election AND

    • Donald Trump is officially nominated as the Republican candidate for the 2028 U.S. Presidential election at the Republican National Convention

  2. The market will resolve as "No" if:

    • Donald Trump wins the 2024 U.S. Presidential election OR

    • Donald Trump loses the 2024 U.S. Presidential election but is not nominated as the Republican candidate for 2028

  3. The market will resolve as "Invalid" if:

    • Donald Trump is deceased or medically incapacitated before the 2028 Republican National Convention

    • The 2028 Republican National Convention does not take place as expected

Resolution Source:
Official results of the 2024 U.S. Presidential election as certified by the Electoral College and Congress, and the official nomination announcement from the 2028 Republican National Convention.Closing Date:
This market will close for trading on the day of the 2028 Republican National Convention, or December 31, 2028, whichever comes first.

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bought Ṁ3,423 NO

@creator please resolve as NO

bought Ṁ4,000 NO

Resolvable on:

The market will resolve as "No" if:

  • Donald Trump wins the 2024 U.S. Presidential election

Have you been posting these markets on the relevant subreddit threads? I imagine the kind of person that posts there would be interested/pissed that a bunch of nerds are betting on their very marked words.